Chesapeake’s one-sided midstream deals

Originally, I thought that Chesapeake may have been using its midstream deals to inflate its profits.  I was mistaken.  Chesapeake’s midstream vehicle (now named Access Midstream Partners) was structured in a very one-sided deal that heavily favored Chesapeake.

I don’t think that many people give credit to Aubrey McClendon for this deal.

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Selwyn Resources: Closed my position

I closed my position at $1.74-$1.9.  I think that Selwyn’s current valuation is reasonable given that:

  1. Selwyn burned through a few million of cash in overhead, legal fees (Selwyn paid Samara Capital and RCF’s legal bills), and severance to the CEO and other employees.
  2. The mine did not find a buyer (yet) and has been put on care and maintenance.  If it has been mothballed, it means that the mine is not economic.  If the company has been trying to sell the mine (which it probably has been) and hasn’t found a buyer, it probably means that the market for the asset is weak.

The stock closed at $2.12 yesterday.I would say that this trade worked out fine.  If you had bought at $8 and sold at $1.74, you would have made a low-risk 9.25% return after the $7 dividend (all figures split-adjusted).

Avid: I don’t understand what they’re doing

Today, Avid issued a press release titled: Avid Announces Appointment of Deloitte & Touche as New Audit Firm.  Some key points in the press release and the 8-K are:

  1. Avid doesn’t expect that it will be able to file its financials by March 14, 2014.  It expects that delisting is likely.
  2. Its current auditor, Ernst and Young, is being replaced by Deloitte.
  3. From the 8-K: “As of the date of this Report on Form 8-K, material weaknesses in the Company’s internal control over financial reporting continue to exist.”
  4. Avid is adopting a rights plan.  It looks like a poison pill to me.
  5. The Company expects that cash expenditures in 2014 related to the ongoing accounting evaluation through completion of the evaluation will amount to approximately $25 million to $34 million.

From the perspective of Avid’s high-end professional customers, all of this is highly unfortunate.  The well-being of these customers will be affected if Avid is no longer updating the software and issuing new versions of it.  They want to know that Avid is financially sound because their livelihood depends on Avid.  Avid should come out and put any speculation about its financial well-being to rest.  It should be louder when it says that the “Company’s cash balance on December 31, 2013 was approximately $48 million and it had no debt or draw on the available line of credit with Wells Fargo”.  It should explain to its customers why a delisting would not in any way affect its commitment to updating its software.  It should file its financial statements as soon as possible.  I don’t understand management’s lack of urgency and why it still hasn’t filed financials (it’s been almost a year).

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Liberator Medical’s “investor relations” firm

(This is not an actionable idea.)

Libertor Medical (LBMH) is a direct-to-consumer medical products supplier with a $224M market cap.

The investor relations page of Liberator’s website shows that Wall Street Resources (WSR) is Liberator’s IR firm for non-institutional investors.  WSR is very unusual for an “investor relations” firm.  The WSR website boasts:

Since inception on March 13, 2009 our Trading Alerts have resulted in a 109% average annualized return.  This means $100,000 invested on 3/13/2009 would have grown to $1,477,162 on 9/30/2013.

Golly, I am sure that WSR is doing a wonderful job as an “investor relations” firm and that those associated with WSR are compounding money at 109% and are on their way to becoming millionaires.

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2013 Year in review and my plan for 2014

My portfolio was largely:

  1. Long US stocks.  This did fine as Altisource (ASPS) was one of my largest positions.
  2. Short US stocks.  Unsurprisingly, I lost money here.
  3. Long volatility/options.
  4. Long Canadian junior mining stocks.  I am slightly profitable here despite the bloodbath in the TSX Venture.

I lagged the S&P 500 index but still had a profitable year.

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Chinese stocks and ICP numbers

Chinese Internet users face restrictions as to the websites that they can and cannot visit as China censors the Internet.  It makes sense for Chinese companies to get an ICP number/license to ensure that its customers can easily visit its website without having to circumvent the ‘Great Firewall of China’.

When performing due diligence on Chinese stocks, I want to see that its website has an ICP number/license.  Chinese websites will typically display the number at the very bottom of its webpages.  Remember to check the Chinese version of a site as the English version may not show the ICP number.

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China Information Technology (CNIT): A case of multiple personality disorder?

CNIT is a very curious company.  On September 4, 2013 it issued a press release titled “China Information Technology, Inc. Entered Into Exclusive Cooperation Arrangements with Biznest Internet &Software Co.” (see the 6-K filing).  One might be led to believe that Biznest Internet & Software is an independent company.

However, the domain registrations involved with Biznest show chinacnit.com email addresses.

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