The culture wars part 2: Cloud service providers are destroying their franchises (AMZN, TWLO, ZEN, GDDY, NET)

If you follow mainstream media, you might get the wrong idea and believe that the Big Tech companies will only deplatform conservatives or far right / white supremacist / neo-Nazi / extremist content.  This is a dangerous misconception.  Part 1 in this series gave the example of Ravelry, whose founder was attacked with lies despite following woke ideology.  If a woke transwoman can be cancelled, nobody is safe from cancel culture.

This phenomenon is extremely problematic for Amazon Web Services (and other companies providing cloud services) because the company forced Parler offline (and damaged Parler’s reputation).  Smart AWS customers will eventually figure out that they should avoid using AWS for mission-critical infrastructure.  AWS could lose most of its customer base unless it dramatically changes course.

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AMD and the death of the crypto-mining GPU

(AMD stock and its options are extremely liquid as AMD is one of the top 10 most traded stocks.)

Previously, I’ve written about how AMD’s profitability has been inflated by the cryptocurrency bubble.  This will likely come to an end in the coming quarters as the market for video cards will shrink thanks to the emergence of ASICs for top cryptocurrencies.  We are already seeing the effects of this as prices of video cards continue to normalize at the retail level.  From PC Part Picker:

Most investment bank analysts anticipate that AMD’s earnings will go to the moon.  While that type of behaviour may help their employer earn underwriting profits if AMD chooses their employer for an equity raise, these optimistic projectons are unlikely to materialize.

I/B/E/S estimates for AMD, courtesy of Sentieo.

In my opinion, AMD is a compelling short as its earnings will likely shrink rather than grow in the coming quarters.

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Psychiatry is mostly a scam… and why it has been good for drug manufacturers

Warning: this post discusses child abuse and may make you uncomfortable…

Our society teaches us that scientists deal with the truth and facts.  Scientists’ results are supported by controlled experiments, the scientific method, peer-reviewed journal articles, etc.  However, there are charlatans in the world that masquerade as scientists.  They do science-ey sounding things without actually doing science.

In the medical field, psychiatry is the worst offender.  Conventional psychiatric views are driven by money as the deranged profession ignores very obvious evidence that contradicts their world view.  For example, the National Institute of Mental Health website (, live version) claims that schizophrenia is a “chronic” disease, which means that it is ‘impossible’ for schizophrenia to go away.  The reality is that people commonly experience full recoveries from schizophrenia (regardless of medication or treatment).  You can see this for yourself on Youtube.  Daniel Mackler’s film Take These Broken Wings has interviews with people who recovered from schizophrenia (trailer, full film).  One of recovered schizophrenics, Joanne Greenberg, is the bestselling author of “I Never Promised You a Rose Garden” (it has over 26 thousand ratings on GoodReads and became a 1977 film).  Despite obvious evidence, the conventional psychiatric field would still like to believe that schizophrenia is a brain disease, lasts for a lifetime, and is something that should be treated by psychiatric drugs (or whatever snake oil therapy is in vogue at the time like lobotomies/psychosurgery, insulin shock, or seizure-inducing ECT).

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The AMD bear raid from Viceroy + CTS-Labs + YLZ, volume V

It turns out that I missed other parts of CTS’ old website from January 2018.  The Management Team section from January has a different story than the one from March.

Secondly, I should own up to some of my mistakes in covering CTS Labs.

  1. AMD has confirmed the vulnerabilities.  I originally thought that perhaps (A) CTS Labs was rehashing known issues or (B) they didn’t have the technical chops to find security vulnerabilities.  I was wrong.  AMD’s story differs from CTS Labs in other respects though.  CTS Labs has suggested that the vulnerabilities may take months to fix.  AMD states: “AMD is working on PSP firmware updates that we plan to release in the coming weeks.”  *AMD’s blog post is not entirely clear about when fixes for the Promontory chipset will be available.
  2. Apparently CTS Labs (via its PR consultant) is claiming that Yaron Luk-Zilberman (YLZ) no longer actively manages NineWells Capital.  It’s unclear to me as to when that occurred since YLZ’s name appears on a March 8, 2018 SEC filing for NineWells.  Regardless, it wouldn’t be accurate for me to equate YLZ with NineWells.

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CTS Labs is a lie (The AMD bear raid from Viceroy + CTS-Labs + NineWells, volume IV)

While CTS’ predecessor Flexagrid is registered with the Israeli government, I could not find a business registration for CTS Labs.  This is because CTS Labs and Flexagrid are the ‘same’ company.  According to the history of the CTS Labs website, Flexagrid “became” Catenoid Security which implicitly became CTS-Labs.  Flexagrid was founded in 2013.  The charlatans have been claiming that CTS Labs was founded in January 2017, which is a lie.

Less importantly:

  1. The Business Wire press release has a 302 temporary redirect on it that makes the press release impossible to read (live link, link).  Effectively, Business Wire has retracted the press release.  (EDIT 2:48PM: Well I was wrong.  The redirect is no longer in place.)
  2. In 2016, Uri Farkas registered a number of domains that seem like SEO spam.  The websites are filled with Amazon affiliate links.  The domain registrations suggest that Uri and Ilia Luk-Zilberman (of CTS Labs) were involved in a 2016 venture involving low-quality cookie cutter websites.  This is the kind of startup business an unemployed person might try if they can’t get a job in the IT security field.  The affiliate marketing game requires a completely different skillset compared to IT security and is easier to get into (even teenagers can do it).  Uri and/or Ilia are a little sleazy because two or more of the websites are written under fake names.

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The AMD bear raid from Viceroy + CTS-Labs + NineWells, volume III

Two developments:

  1. It looks like Fraser John Perring has told different facts to Reuters and Vice Motherboard.  Reuters says that Perring received the report on Monday March 12.  Vice Motherboard says that Perring received the report last week, which would be March 4 to 10.
  2. CTS Labs has released a “Clarification About the Recent Vulnerabilities“.  It turns out that all 4 named vulnerabilities are only relevant AFTER an attacker has gained control of the system (“An attacker would only need to be able to run an EXE with local admin privileges on the machine”).  I don’t see how the severity of these vulnerabilities would differ much from BIOS rootkit attacks that have existed for years.  For example, the Vault 7 documents released by Wikileaks revealed that the CIA developed malware (‘evil software’) to spy on computers.  In 2017, Intel Security released a patch to detect such software embedded into the BIOS.  Viceroy Research did not write an obituary on Intel.
    • Earlier speculation from myself and others on CTS’ research seems to be misguided.  CTS Labs is not rehashing vulnerabilities that work without having control of the system (e.g. BadUSB).  CTS Labs is presumably alleging novel flaws (although they don’t seem to be actually claiming that their discoveries are novel).

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The AMD bear raid from Viceroy + CTS-Labs + NineWells, volume II

“It looks like the IT security world has hit a new low.”
-Linus Torvalds, creator of Linux (via Google+)

Linus Torvalds has basically summarized the whole situation: clickbait media sites (e.g. CNET, Tom’s Hardware, Gizmodo, Vice, The Hacker News) breathlessly report on security vulnerabilities without critical thinking or fact checking.  The security industry takes advantage of that by making exaggerated claims and being attention whores.  On CTS’ report, Linus states: “I refuse to link to that garbage. But yes, it looks more like stock manipulation than a security advisory to me.”

Thankfully there are some journalists trying to do real journalism.  (I know the industry is dying but I’d like to thank the journalists out there who are upholding their journalistic integrity.)  In comments to these journalists, charlatans like Fraser John Perring and Yaron Luk-Zilberman have been quite disingenuous.  The short and distort campaign has been getting more bizarre.

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The bear raid from Viceroy Research + CTS-Labs, and the NineWells Capital Management connection

CTS-Labs has come out with a “research” piece on AMD processors.  The reader might be misled into thinking that the “white paper” reveals previously undisclosed security vulnerabilities.  However, the CTS-Labs disclaimer ( states that the CTS report “summarizes security vulnerabilities, but purposefully does not provide a complete description of such vulnerabilities […]”.  So from my reading of the so-called “white paper”, CTS isn’t actually revealing previously unknown security flaws.

This isn’t like Muddy Waters’ work on St. Jude, where Muddy Waters alleged security flaws with St. Jude’s pacemakers; St. Jude has since recalled pacemakers to fix security vulnerabilities (Zdnet, FDA).  The difference between Muddy Waters and CTS is that Muddy Waters did actual research to find previously unknown problems with the company’s products.  Now if CTS actually did find a novel security vulnerability, then I would apologize.  However, the CTS report does not clearly articulate what’s a rehash of previously known security issues and what isn’t.

EDIT (3/21/2018):  Correction: the bugs are real.  Their severity has been overstated as they only work on systems that have already been compromised.  AMD says that fixes will be available within weeks while CTS Labs is still claiming that it will take months.  Status of fixes for the Promontory chipset are less clear at the moment.

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Bitcoin explained in plain English

Like Paypal and Visa, Bitcoin is a system that can send money digitally.  The innovation that sets Bitcoin apart is that it isn’t controlled or operated by a single company.  Instead of having a company like Visa run the system, anybody can join the Bitcoin network and participate in the record keeping that keeps Bitcoin running.  Nobody owns the Bitcoin software or the Bitcoin network.  If an oppressive government wants to shut down Bitcoin, it can’t simply go after a single company.  An oppressive government would (in theory) have to go after everybody running Bitcoin server software on their computer to shut it down.

In practice, the decentralization doesn’t actually work.  Most people buy Bitcoins through exchanges run by private companies, which are subject to government-imposed laws and regulations.  While Bitcoin’s innovation is interesting, it doesn’t actually do anything useful in the real world.  However, very few people actually understand Bitcoin.  So, journalists and cryptocurrency fanatics can make up fancy stories about how Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies will change the world.

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Blockchain is a useless technology

Blockchain, a way of implementing a distributed ledger (distributed record-keeping), is a novel technology with little real-world practicality.  The original Bitcoin white paper published back in October 31, 2008 spurred little interest in distributed ledgers.  The distributed ledger was ignored for years until Bitcoin started receiving mainstream attention and a few years had passed.

I simply couldn’t find much evidence that distributed ledgers are useful for any real-world applications (other than speculative asset bubbles).  Once you understand that blockchains are bad at solving real-world problems, then you will understand why Bitcoin will fail.  The blockchain imposes limitations that makes Bitcoin a bad version of something that has been tried in the past: e-gold (description here and Wired profile here).

A company’s stance on blockchain can also serve as a test of a company’s management.  In my view, companies pushing blockchain technology (e.g. IBM, Microsoft, Intel, Oracle) are disconnected from customers’ actual needs and have mediocre management.  Companies that don’t talk about blockchain (e.g. Facebook, Amazon, Google, Apple) are more likely to produce sensible technology that will work in the real world.

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